The Indian market seems to be nervous about one month before the lack of local positive growth signal and negative global signals going into the Lok Sabha elections in 2019, both the Sensex and the Nifty are ever going down. Overall it can be said that the market before the election is directionless.

The Karnataka election last year was less than the majority of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) because of which the previous Congress government became the biggest party against BJP.

In the stock market, major elections were held in BJP-ruled Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Mizoram in the second half of that year, where even the BJP suffered a major defeat.

But after the results of those Chungo the market went up, why? No one knows this.

If something has been learned from the past, five examples out of eight in the Indian market have been received before the general election from 1989.

 In the first year before the 2009 general elections, the market was the worst hit, 4,869 points fall.

 The reason for falling was low and the global financial crisis over the economy was high. In September 2008, the Sensex slipped 27%, which is the highest during a month so far, when 'Sub-prime Crisis' occurred in the USA, due to which there was a global slowdown.

The point of note is that during the general elections, the market was growing with the hope that a stable government would be formed during the coalition governments' era.

Now, given the current political situation, there are high probabilities that in 2019 a coalition government will come to power.

 It had a physical impact on the movement of markets in the year before the date of elections and now when the election is just a month away, the market appears to be climbing up.

Expert opinions:

Geojit's chief investment strategist, Dr. VK Vijaykumar had said last year, "In 2018, a major factor affecting the market would be politics.

 In 2018, the Rajya Sabha election will decide the trend for the Lok Sabha elections in 2019; Election results in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh have been significant since the market's perspective at the end of the year. These elections may indicate a possible outcome in 2019.

 That's why politics is important that the market is like certainty and stability. The market likes a stable government for a weak coalition under a strong leader who is capable of implementing economic reforms.


the market will like the continuation of NDA rule under Modi, Which will be a weak coalition of regional parties.

There is no possibility of a break in the market and going to a bull orbit in 2018. Crude kills $ 80 a barrel and its macro-economic decline.

Beyond the market expectations, the interest rate of the US Fed is another concern, and for this reason the market will run or fall.


First, the coming of the Modi government is going to rise above the market, but seeing the current political climate, it seems that neither the BJP nor the Congress can be formed by the full majority.
If Modi's leadership leads to NDA coalition government then it will be good for the market.

- Other external factors such as crude and American Fed policy are no longer significant as crude prices are still stuck around $ 65 per barrel and this is a good sign for India's economy.

The US Fed has now shown its softness in its policy so that new enthusiasm has come in all markets of the world.


The direct election of 2019 is from the development story of the country. Even if the markets are expected to bounce further before the 2019 election, but the election results can change the situation.

In the current situation, where markets have developed a demand that requires clear strategies for investment.

In this situation, financial strategies and news analysis are required to create strategies for investment.

To do this analysis, years of experience and expertise are advised. In the case of variable market where there are many multi baggers and 'scrap cape', investing on your strength and without full understanding can be a fatal proposition.

 Investors should seek professional help during this tenure to grab the best possible opportunities from the markets.

 In stock exchanges, professional advice is a synonym of stock advisory. A SEBI registered stock advisor can help you maximise your investment returns in the long run.

thanks for the time .

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